Do you declare the State of South Sudan?
Mohammed Dulaimi
The many promises of President Omar al-Bashir follow-up action to implement its program to establish a development and many projects in infrastructure in the south, and seeks the Congress Party to mobilize supporters of the unit and allow them to move in the south , as this is allowed to move to the supporters of secession the South , but observers like the Sudanese spotted permit a very strong and explicit about Separation, what he said by the Secretary -General of the People's Movement ( Pagan Amun ) and who believed that any work and effort for unity is a hostile act and that he does not wish at all the unity of Sudan.
This means that in the case of unleashing both currents conflicting unity or separation of a bloody conflict in the south , prompting Vice President Ali Shakir Taha to the statement his desire to stay in southern Sudan during the coming months in an attempt to reaffirm the desire of the North in the weight of the unity option to other options That may enter Sudan in the midst of a bloody war and the struggle for power and wealth sharing.
As President Bashir himself on the importance of coming together of all the Sudanese people to consider the unity option with appeal to the people of the South; but there is another conflict of statements between the political elites in the South and the North began more acute with the approach of the referendum in January next , especially as Both conflicting parties move among broad segments from the south who are suffering from ignorance and backwardness , poverty and do not have freedom in deciding their choices for the awareness and without the influence of the governing elites in its decisions.
If the People's Movement has succeeded in tightening the control of military power and their militias to the south fully and conducted mock elections , public and had to kill anyone objected to the plans before the election and after the announcement of the results , as was announced on the Elimination of insurgency south , led by General ( Gulwak quai ) who wanted to Rebellion against the Government of Southern Sudan.
As the leaders of the SPLM in the south arm of their army with heavy weapons from rockets, mortars and even tanks and access to coaching experience at the hands of military experts from United States residing continuously in the South, when added to complete the equipment Juba Airport and the readiness of the Air Force South and the capacity of the new airport to receive 70 civilian aircraft per day, and encourage the Government of the South on the use of currencies of countries such as Uganda and Kenya , which occupy a combined value of 80 percent of trade , in front of all these facts, trying to lead the National Conference loosen the grip of the leaders of the Popular Movement of people in the south by working to exclude military People from the centers of the referendum in a bet on the ability of citizens chosen for the southern unit, if the voting process is free.
The National Conference leaders are betting on large numbers of southerners living in Khartoum, Sennar, the capital city and adjacent to the southern and northern states , who number more than half a million who, because of their association with their cities, will outweigh the unity option appropriate to their interests.
The international resources , especially the issue of follow-up to monitor the South that the popular movement to sign a secret contracts to extract oil with foreign oil companies want to get a share of the Sooner Southern Oil and the capture of leaders of the movement of billions of dollars earmarked for the reconstruction of the South .. All of which brings the leaders of the North for the work to expose these harmful practices .
Amid all these conflicts and conflict on the role and influence in the upcoming referendum , the state of anarchy and lawlessness will confuse the accounts of all , the Popular Movement summary on the referendum and the achievement of separation and with America and the West , and the forces of government, which wants to clarify the picture for the southerners and put them in the context of thinking in their future real Lies in maintaining a degree of unity and to exclude the option of separation devastating to the history and the unity of Sudan. The United Nations is concerned about a possible postponement of the referendum and the increasing intensity of the conflict ..
States are active and adjacent to the Sudan do not seem satisfied with the holding of the referendum (such as Eritrea - Chad - Ethiopia ) .. Also strengthen the position of the African Union , and stresses that a referendum on the fate of South Sudan under the conditions of serious and complex appeared to be a suicide bomber.
Rejected the Foreign Minister of South Africa this referendum, expected in a statement that the State South upcoming failed since its inception and the President of the African Union Commission ( Ping ) has been advocated strongly and clearly to the need to support Sudan's unity and work to prevent the secession of the south because that is an approach to the extinction of many African countries If the separatist ethnic conflicts prevailed ..
In any case, the observer of the political landscape of the Sudanese it difficult to draw perception once and for all will be a picture of the situation there , because the rates of separation and unity are almost equal , according to the monitoring , research centers, the questionnaire for the view , especially that the credentials of separation or unity does not belong fully to any party.
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